SAN FRANCISCO – Fourth-quarter sales of PC units are topping even the most positive expectations, up 17% worldwide year-over-year, a leading analyst said today.
Chris Whitmore, an analyst with
Deutsche Bank Equity Research, said recent remarks by
AMD and
Seagate suggest that demand is strong for PCs in general, and notebooks in particular. Furthermore, motherboard and notebook manufacturing are inline with normal seasonality, he said in a research note issued today. The firm estimated notebook growth topped 35%, while desktops grew
about 10%. The investment bank had previously forecast 15%
year-over-year growth for the fourth quarter. (Research firm
IDC had
correctly forecasted a 17% gain in units sold. )
DB recently raised its 2006 forecast for PC unit growth to 12%, which
is above the industry consensus. The firm said unit growth and revenue
growth will accelerate in 2007.
For the quarter
Dell’s units sold rose more than 20% and its market
share rose half a point to 17.2%. At
HP, unit sales rose nearly 16%.
Acer’s unit sales rose 53% and market share rose 1.3%.
Whitmore said earlier expectations of a “significant deceleration” in
the first half due to delayed purchases in advance of the new
Microsoft
Vista operating system may prove to be conservative.
In Asia,
fourth-quarter unit shipments were up 45% year-over-year. Notebook unit
shipments are expected to fall five to 10% in the first quarter due to
seasonality, and motherboards are expected to fall 10 to 15%.
The
company also noted that processor pricing could improve as the race
heats up between
Intel and AMD.