SAN JOSE - The coming
transition to nano-scale semiconductor devices means that leadership in
information technology is up for grabs, warned the Semiconductor
Industry Association.
At a news conference in Washington, D.C., this month, chief executives of
U.S. semiconductor makers and a leading economist stressed the
importance of continued progress and leadership in semiconductor
technology. The industry is observing the 40th anniversary of Moore's
Law - an observation made in 1965 by industry pioneer Gordon Moore that
the number of components on a computer chip was doubling approximately
every 12 months with a commensurate reduction in costs. Following the
vision of Moore's Law, the U.S. semiconductor industry has led the
worldwide industry, contributing key innovations that have helped drive
America's economic growth.
Speaking at the news conference were Steve Appleton, chief
executive of Micron Technology and 2005 chairman of the SIA;
Craig Barrett, chief executive of Intel; Dale
Jorgenson, Harvard University;
and George Scalise, president of the SIA. The industry executives noted
that four decades of continuous advances in microchip technology have
led to creation of entirely new industries, including personal
computers, the Internet, and cellular telephones, while enabling major
advances in biotechnology, medicine, and environmental protection.Jorgenson discussed the contributions semiconductors have
made to economic growth and productivity gains during the past decade.
SIA called for stepped up support for basic research in the
physical sciences to assure continued U.S. technology leadership.
Experts believe current semiconductor technology could run up against
physical, technological and economic limits around 2020.
"U.S. leadership in technology is under assault," said Barrett.
"The challenge we face is global in nature and broader in scope than
any we have faced in the past. The initial step in responding to this
challenge is that America must decide to compete. If we don't compete
and win, there will be very serious consequences for our standard of
living and national security in the future."
Barrett said that industry scientists believe current CMOS
scaling to support Moore's Law can remain in effect for at least
another 10 to 15 years. When the smallest features on a chip shrink to
less than 10 nanometers - 10 one-billionths of a meter - current
chipmaking technology will reach its ultimate limits. To keep Moore's
Law alive, the industry will have to leave Newtonian physics behind and
transition to the realm of quantum physics - the era of nanotechnology.
"U.S. leadership in the nanoelectronics era is not guaranteed,"
noted Barrett. "It will take a massive, coordinated U.S. research
effort involving academia, industry, and state and federal governments
to ensure that America continues to be the world leader in information
technology."
Semiconductor technology vital to U.S. economy
Sustaining continuous advances in semiconductor technology is vital
to sustaining improved U.S. economic performance, according to one of
the nation's leading economists, Professor Dale Jorgenson. "The mantra
of the ‘new economy' - faster, better, cheaper - characterizes the
speed of technological change and product improvement in
semiconductors, the key enabling technology," said Jorgenson.
"Development and deployment of information technology is the foundation
of the American growth resurgence that has occurred since 1995."
"The economics of information technology begins with the
precipitous and continuing fall in semiconductor prices," Jorgenson
continued. "The rapid price decline has been transmitted to the prices
of a range of products that rely heavily on this technology, like
computers and telecommunications equipment." Jorgenson noted that
swiftly falling prices for information technology equipment have
provided powerful economic incentives for rapid diffusion of
information technology, which in turn has led to accelerated economic
growth and strong increases in productivity.
"The four IT-producing industries - semiconductors, computers,
communications equipment, and software - are responsible for a quarter
of the growth resurgence, but only 3% of U.S. gross domestic
product," said Jorgenson. "Obviously, the impact of the IT-producing
industries is far out of proportion to their relatively small size."
SIA chairman Steve Appleton called for a concerted national effort
to increase the resources devoted to research and development in the
physical sciences. "Our current efforts are inadequate," said Appleton.
"Federal funding for R&D as a percentage of U.S. gross domestic
product has been almost cut in half over the past 20 years. We must
return to the investment levels of the mid-1980s in order to compete
for leadership."
SIA leaders will be calling on legislative and executive branch
leaders to support increasing research budgets for the physical
sciences in the National Science Foundation, the National
Institute for Standards and Technology, and the Department of
Defense. Specifically, the SIA is calling for:
- Increases of 7% per year in the research budget of the NSF
for 10 years, doubling the research budget over that period;
- An appropriation of $20 million to match the semiconductor
industry's support for the Focus Center Research Program, which
supports pre-competitive research on microelectronics technology at 30
universities to ensure continued U.S. leadership throughout the
remaining years of the CMOS era;
- An increase of $20 million to enhance the nanomanufacturing and nanometrology research capabilities of NIST; and
- An increase in funding for the Math and Science Partnership program of the No Child Left Behind act.
"U.S. leadership in technology is not inevitable," said Appleton.
"Leadership in information technology is a cornerstone of our national
strategy for economic growth, an improving standard of living, and
national security. The actions we take today to ensure continued U.S.
leadership will determine the quality of life enjoyed by our children
and grandchildren," Appleton said.
ARLINGTON, VA -- Nearly half of all consumers plan to make their next television
purchase a high-definition television set, according to a consumer survey released by the Consumer Electronics Association today. The survey results reinforce CEA's market research projection
that total digital television unit shipments will surpass analog
television sales for the first time in 2005, based on the "digital
tuner mandate" issued by the FCC.
The first time that dollar sales of digital television surpassed analog
television was in 2003.
The study was administered via telephone
to a random sample of 1,009 U.S. adults between
Feb. 25 and March 1. The margin of sampling error for
aggregate results is +/-3.1%.
"HDTV is here to stay," CEA president and CEO Gary Shapiro said
of the survey findings. "Nearly all consumers are now aware of HDTV and
more consumers than ever intend to make their next TV an HDTV. The
consumer acceptance 'obstacle' is no more. Consumers want HDTV now more
than ever; it is now up to the content creators and distributors to
deliver it."
According to the survey results, awareness of DTV terminology
has sky-rocketed in the past 18 months. Nine out of 10 adults are now
aware of at least one term used to refer to high-definition television,
such as "digital television" or "HDTV." Seventy-six percent of U.S.
adults say they are familiar with details about the new TV sets. In
addition, the percentage of adults who are not familiar has fallen by
half, from 42%in 2003 to 22% today. Finally, 84% of consumers have seen an HDTV somewhere in the last 12 months, whether
it was in a retail store or in their own home.
"Not only are consumers becoming more familiar with the
digital television technology, they are also accepting of the digital
television transition," said CEA director of market research Sean
Wargo. "In fact, 53% say they feel positive about the
transition, up slightly from 51% in 2003."
CEA also surveyed consumers' reaction to the eventual analog
cut-off. When consumers who receive television signals, in part or in
whole, via antenna on their primary TV were asked what they would do if
they could no longer receive these signals with the antenna they
currently use, 52% (from 46% in 2003) said they might
buy a digital to analog set-top box converter and 66% (from
57% in 2003) said they might subscribe to a cable or satellite
service. Among those homes that receive television signals only via
antenna (12% of homes, according to the survey), the figures
are 48% and 56%, respectively. Only 21% of
antenna-only households are very likely to "do nothing."
KOKOMO, IN, March 24 -- Foresite will offer a pair of two-day workshops on Understanding Process Residues & their Effects on Product Performance and Achieving Reliable Lead-Free Performance & Conducting Failure Analysis. Held in Atlanta and Dallas, the series will provide information for electronics manufacturers who are transitioning to lead-free assembly and are concerned with product cleanliness and long-term reliability.
The Atlanta workshop will be held on April 27-28; the Dallas workshop takes place May 3-4. Topics include: process residues and their effect on product performance, successfully implementing a lead-free process and conducting an effective failure analysis.
Terry Munson, a Circuits Assembly columnist, will lead the workshop. Terry has over 16 years of experience with how cleanliness is affecting product reliability for electronic hardware.
For more info and to register, visit www.residues.com or call (765) 457-8095.
MILPITAS, CA -- Solectron
Corp., a provider of electronics
manufacturing services, today reported
second-quarter sales of $2.76 billion, down 4.5% from last year and up 3.6% sequentially.
The GAAP loss from continuing operations narrowed to $5 million, from $90 million in the second quarter of last year.
The company had non-GAAP net income from continuing operations of
$40 million, excluding $45 million of charges.
The company took a one-time charge of $40 million for the pending sale
of one of its Japanese facilities, a $3 million restructuring charge
and a $2 million charge related to its convertible note exchange offer.
LISLE, IL -- David D. Johnson today was named CFO of Molex, a maker of connectors and other circuit interconnects, effective May 13. Johnson was VP and CFP at Sypris
Solutions, a designer and manufacturer of electronics systems for the military.
He had been CFO of Sypris since March 1998.
Sypris named vice president and treasurer Anthony C. Allen acting CFO. The process for
identifying a permanent replacement has been initiated.
SARATOGA, CA - The decline in semiconductors that
began in the second half of 2004 possibly came to a halt in January, according
to a leading research firm. "Although it seems that the decline stalled in
January, we discourage extrapolating this incident into the future as one month
does not make a trend," warned Rosa Luis, director of marketing and sales at
Advanced Forecasting.
AFI said January's data shows a
clear stagnation in IC revenues, which were flat month-on-month; units, which has
begun to slow, indicating a bottom is near; and average selling price, which increased
slightly in January after a slight decline in December. Historical data shows
this is a rare occurrence in that ASPs do not tend to increase once they have
begun a decline, AFI said.
"We remain optimistic that the
current decline will end during the first half of 2005," said Luis. "We stand
by our original forecast of a near zero growth rate for the full year."