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TAIPEI -- Asustek Computer is forecasting a 77% jump in notebook production next year on higher demand for low-cost laptops.

The company hopes to ship some 20 million units next year. If so, it would make Asustek one of the world's four largest laptop makers, behind Dell, HP and Acer.

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NEW YORK – The low valuations of several big-name EMS firms suggests impending restructuring, an industry analyst said yesterday.
 
Celestica, Sanmina-SCI and Benchmark are all below historical norms and tangible book value, noted Sherri Scribner of Deutsche Bank Equity Research in a research note. This means Wall Street expects those companies will reduce overhead in the coming months.
 
“[T]rading below tangible book value suggests to us that the market expects some form of restructuring at these companies,” Scribner wrote. Sanmina-SCI and Celestica are trading below their cash values, she added.
 
While Sanmina-SCI’s profitability has increased measurably over the past year, the company is saddled with a 55% debt-to-capital ratio and high interest rates. The company carries $1.48 billion in debt, though none of it is due before June 2010, against $1.482 billion in cash and credit lines.
 
As of June, Celestica had $759 million in debt and $1.2 billion in cash and short-term investments.
 
Benchmark had $12 million in debt due in December 2012, and $289 million in cash and short-term investments, plus a credit line of $100 million.
 
Plexus had a $150 million loan due in 2013. It is the only significant debt the company carries. Plexus has more than $200 million cash on hand.
 
Flextronics actually carried more debt – $3.79 billion – than its competitors, but just $200 million is due before 2012, and the world’s second-largest EMS company had $1.77 billion in cash and short-term investments and more than $2 billion in credit lines available.
 

 
EL SEGUNDO, CA – EMS and ODM firms will continue to grow, albeit at a slower rate, during the current recession, says research firm iSuppli.
 
In fact, the firm believes, a recessionary environment may offer opportunities, pointing to the 2001-2003 recession, when a “rubber band effect” stimulated significant revenue growth for EMS/ODM firms emerging from the downturn. Top ODMs increased their annual sales from $12 billion to $37 billion during 2001-2004, while EMS providers had a CAGR of 11% during the period.
 
This same effect may apply this time around, as OEMs refocus resources on core competencies, investigate ways to minimize costs and shore up their balance sheets, says Adam Pick, principal analyst for EMS/ODM at iSuppli.
 
He and senior analyst for EMS/ODM services Jeffrey Wu will discuss how the deteriorating macroeconomic situation is impacting contract manufacturers in an Oct. 22 Webinar at 11:30 am EST.
 
For more information and registration, visit https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/676924336.

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