BANNOCKBURN, IL -- North American shipments of PCBs rose 9% in October but orders fell 6.2% year-over-year, IPC said.
The book-to-bill ratio in October was 0.99, dropping below 1.0 for the first time since November 2004.
“We received really positive feedback on Durham, which was a new location for PCB East 2006. This helped us make the decision to return to Durham in 2007,” said Pete Waddell, president of UP Media Group.
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So wrote Carter Shoop, an analyst with Deutsche Bank Equity Research, in a research note. He added that other contacts at component makers and distributors seemed more cautious.
“We believe
the differing views stem from a larger inventory workdown in capacitors and semiconductors
versus connectors. Connectors tend to be more application specific and have
more stable lead times than capacitors and semi's, resulting in less volatility
throughout a cycle,” he wrote.
For the current quarter, demand for military and aerospace electronics are slightly
ahead of forecasts, while industrial and handset products are off.
Meanwhile, industry-wide inventory reduction has accelerated, with several contacts observing a “meaningful reduction” at top tier EMS vendors in October. Efforts are expected to continue through at least December.
DB had previously
estimated global EMS and ODM companies
had about $3 billion worth of excess parts
in inventory. “As a consequence of moderating end-demand, bloated inventories
and contracting lead times, we believe EMS and distribution vendors, in
aggregate, will reduce component inventories over the next two (possibly three)
quarters on an absolute basis.”