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SAN JOSE, Sept. 8 -- Deutsche Bank today reaffirmed its cautious outlook for the EMS industry, citing recent anecdotes from semiconductor makers, OEMs and retailers.

Analyst Chris Whitmore said many technology companies performed below expectations in July and August and "hope for a robust pickup in September is fading quickly." OEMs are dropping inventory levels, he noted, and  concern is greatest for EMS companies that build communications gear.

"We continue to believe that the combination of slowing end demand and excess inventory across the supply chain will result in a significant deceleration of production trends across the EMS industry. We are most concerned about EMS vendors with substantial exposure to communications infrastructure."

As evidence, Whitmore cited: 

  • Wal-Mart's tepid same-store sales increase of 0.5% in August and the company's failure to mention electronics in its list of top-performing products.
  • Target, which cited electronics as one of the worst performing products in August.
  • Best Buy's August same-store sales increase of 4.3%, below 6.7% last year and Wall Street's forecast of 5.4%.
  • 3Com's cutting of its forecast for the August quarter and belief that sales declined 10 to 13% sequentially.
  • Cautious announcements by Intel, Fairchild, IDT, Altera and Cypress.

In addition, Whitmore noted warnings from several semiconductor companies of reduced inventory levels at OEMs, which could impact EMS production. DB believes market sentiment "is still too optimistic about EMS fundamentals"  over the next six quarters.

Read more ...

Arlington, VA, Sept. 8, 2004 -- The number of U.S. IT jobs increased by just 2% between the first quarter of 2003 and the first quarter of 2004, and demand for IT workers is expected to slow during the rest of the year, according to a survey released Wednesday by the Information Technology Association of America (ITAA).

 

The overall size of the U.S. IT workforce grew from about 10.3 million to 10.5 million jobs from 2003 to 2004, according to an ITAA telephone survey of 500 hiring managers from both IT and non-IT companies across the U.S. But hiring managers indicated they will seek to fill a total of 230,000 jobs in 2004, down from about 500,000 IT jobs filled in the past year.

 

Among the factors in the slow job growth include U.S. companies' continuing concerns about the economy, rising costs of health care and other benefits, increasing productivity among workers and offshore outsourcing.

 

Some job classifications can look forward to bright futures, however. The report indicates that technical support and network system design saw the largest year-to-year increases in employment, up 5%. And technical support scored the largest number of jobs—67,000—followed by network systems development and programming.

 

Given current concerns about terrorism, critical infrastructure protection and homeland security, information security appears to hold the greatest IT job growth potential over the next three to five years, the ITAA said.

Read more ...
ELK GROVE VILLAGE, IL, Sept. 9 -- SigmaTron International today reported first-quarter 2005 revenues of $25.1 million, up 1% from last year.

Net profit fell 18%, to $1 million, for the quarter ended July 31.

During the quarter the company ramped production in China. In a press release, president and CEO Gary Fairhead said near-term results "will be negatively impacted by investment in China." He said China should show positive operating results in fiscal 2005.

Las Vegas operations were slow which the company attributed to normal seasonality. Mexico operations were busy, and Fairhead said the company has seen "renewed interest in Mexico as opposed to China."

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SINGAPORE,  Sept. 10 -- Singapore Technologies Engineering has purchased a 21.35% stake in ECS Holdings from Solectron for S$25 million in cash.

Solectron, which owned 23.5% of ECS, sold the remaining 2.15% to an undiclosed group.

ECS officials said the deal shouldn't have negative repercussions for ECS, which doesn't distribute Solectron products.

In a press statement issued jointly by ECS and ST Electronics, the companies said the investment isn't expected to have a material impact on earnings in 2004.

ST Electronics designs and develops electronics systems mainly for industrial use. ECS provides IT services and sells software and hardware.

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Kester (kester.com) will hold a lead-free mini-clinic at its booth during the ATE Show in Chicago on Sept. 28-30. Peter Biocca, senior market development engineer for lead-free implementation, and Gary Nicholls, Kester University administrator, will be on hand to answer future lead-free users' questions.

 

Kester's line of lead-free products will be on exhibit, and information on the Kester University lead-free training program will also be available.

 

Visitors are encouraged to bring their boards, components or soldered assemblies to discuss lead-free transition issues. Read more ...

SCOTTSDALE, AZ, Sept. 9 - Advanced Systems Consultants (mpcps.com) is offering a three-day course on Machine and Process Capability Analysis and Improvement on November 8-10 at its Scottsdale facility. Mario Perez-Wilson, one of the original architects of Six Sigma, will teach participants practical methodology for efficiently characterizing, optimizing and controlling machines and processes.

 

The application-oriented course will focus on improving processes by maximizing yields, reducing scrap, minimizing defective rates and increasing the efficiency of manufacturing. Process delineation, metrology characterization, capability determination, optimization and control will be covered in-depth.

 

Perez-Wilson has over 23 years of industrial experience in engineering, quality and process improvement and is the author of nine books. He has served at the executive level as corporate vice president of quality for Flextronics International.
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FRANKLIN, MA, Sept. 7-- Speedline Technologies Inc. (speedlinetech.com) reported second quarter sales up 61% over the same period last year. Bookings also rose, growing 85% over Q1 2003. At the end of the period, the business backlog was 3.5 times higher than at the same time last year.

 

"We saw continuation of the rigorous market recovery in electronics manufacturing that started in the first quarter," said Pierre de Villemejane, Speedline's president. "Cell phone and computer production was exceptionally strong, driving higher spending for capital equipment to expand capacity."

 

For the first half of 2004, sales were up 52% over the same period last year, while bookings climbed 69%.

 

de Villemajane indicated that sales were strong across all geographic regions: "In the Americas, electronics capital spending was expansion-driven, and our large contract electronic manufacturing customers invested heavily in new equipment. Mexico and Brazil also exhibited particularly strong signs of recovery."

 

According to de Villemejane, Hungary has emerged as the fastest growing European market. The expansion of lead-free processing is also driving growth in the U.K., Poland, Czech Republic and Turkey. Speedline's fastest growing Asian markets are China and Thailand. Read more ...
NEENAH, WI,  Sept. 2 -- Plexus Corp. will take over complete PCB assembly for Fluke Precision Measurement products, the companies said today. 

In a statement, Fluke said it is consolidating its base of EMS providers. Plexus may in the future take over new product introduction, including design, prototyping and test.

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SAN JOSE, Sept. 2 - July worldwide sales of semiconductors rose 1% sequentially to $18 billion, with all regions taking hits except Europe, the Semiconductor Industry Association reported today. In a statement, the SIA callled the slower growth rate "not unexpected."

"The latest numbers reflect a slower growth rate for worldwide sales of semiconductors as previously projected," said SIA president George Scalise. "A combination of factors - consumer uncertainty, inventory accumulation in key sectors, and seasonal issues in some markets - resulted in modest sequential sales growth from June.

Nevertheless, year-on-year sales were up 37.9% as demand for ICs continues to rage worldwide. The data are based on a three-month moving average of sales activity by 66 reporting semiconductor firms.  

SIA predicted a strong finish to 2004. SIA guided for third-quarter sequential growth of 4 to 6%. "The industry remains on track for year-on-year growth of approximately 28% and record sales of $214 billion," Scalise said, citing the strong U.S. economy for creating favorable conditions for sales of PCs, autos, and consumer electronics.

"If these end-markets follow normal seasonal patterns, we expect to see solid growth rates for the semiconductor industry through the remainder of the year," Scalise said.

Inventory levels remain considerably lower than comparable levels in summer 2000. "There are also indications that consumer concerns over issues such as oil prices, the U.S. elections, and geopolitical developments are affecting household spending patterns.

Sales growth rates slowed sequentially in all regions except Europe. According to VLSI Research, capacity utilization is forecasted to decline slightly from 95% in the second quarter to 93% in the third. 

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TEMPE, AZ, Sept. 2 - The rate of growth in the manufacturing sector slowed in August but new orders and production remained strong. Manufacturing grew for the 15th consecutive month, said the Institute for Supply Management, based on its monthly poll of the supply chain.

The PMI, a leading measure of economic activity, was 59%, down 3 points and breaking a string of nine straight months above the 60% level. Still, the PMI was above the benchmark 50% level for the 15h straight month. New orders fell 3.5 points and production dropped 6.6 points.

Respondents focused on energy costs, price inflation in basic materials and slowing sales growth. "While the near-term outlook remains positive, both the inventories and customers' inventories indexes show signs of inventory building," ISM chairman Norbert Ore said. "Such a build may be justified if it is to meet additional sales demand, and if new orders and production remain strong."

Prices manufacturers pay were higher, driven by customer demand and energy costs. Customer inventories remain "too low," ISM said, although the rate of decline decelerated significantly during August. Backlogs rose, as did new export orders and imports.

Electronic Components and Equipment, and Industrial and Commercial Equipment and Computers were among the sectors reporting growth.

                                                April                       May                        June                      July                        August

PMI                                           62.4                        62.8                 61.1                 62.0                  59.0

New orders                             65.0                        62.8                 60.0                 64.7                  61.2

Production                               67.0                        64.8                 63.2                 66.1                  59.5

Inventories                               44.8                        49.3                        51.1                        49.9                         51.7

Customer inventories               40.5                        37.0                        39.0                        37.5                        45.5

Backlogs                                  66.5                        63.0                        58.5                        58.0                         55.0

Source: Institute for Supply Management, September 2004 Read more ...
Hong Kong, Sept. 1 -- A pair of major components shows are set for later this fall in opposing corners of the globe.

Next month in Hong Kong is electronicaAsia, an exhibition for components, assemblies, production and display technology. The Oct. 13-16 show will be held concurrently with the Hong Kong Electronics Fair.

electronicaAsia is the largest electronics manufacturing show is Asia. According to show producers Messe Munchen, last year's electronicaAsia had more than 28,000 trade visitors, up 75% from 2002, and 552 exhibitors.

Automotive electronics will take top billing at electronica 2004 in November in Munich. Automotive accounts for 17% of the overall semiconductor market in Europe, 30% in Germany, thanks to demand for engine-control units, electronic-dashboard instrument clusters, remote keyless-entry systems and airbags.

electronica 2004 will be held Nov. 9-12.

Read more ...
HERNDON, VA, Aug. 30 — A group of technology experts today issued new recommendations for testing assemblies for tin whiskers and evaluating devices with tin finishes. The recommendations by the National Electronics Manufacturing Initiative's Tin Whisker User Group update previous guidance released in May.

In a press statement NEMI said the new guidelines include input from suppliers that wasn't in the May version.

Joe Smetana, principle engineer, advanced technology for Alcatel and group chairman, said, "[T]here are a number of options for reducing the risk of tin whiskers, and we recognized the need for supplier feedback on the practicality of implementing the various approaches. Our goal was to address a complex issue in a practical manner with a justifiable approach while limiting the testing requirements in an effort to save time and money but still reducing the risk of tin whisker failures."

Among the updates:

  • Changed significantly the "qualification by similarity" matrix, dramatically reducing the number of tests (and associated cost) required by an individual supplier.
  • Eliminated the annual requalification requirement, replacing it with a simpler, supplier-defined, whisker monitoring requirement.
  • Eliminated requirements for control samples that produce whiskers.
  • Provided options in the specification if tin-lead reference samples are not used or available for baseline whisker length comparisons.
  • Provided guidelines for optical inspection qualification as a possible alternative to SEM (scanning electron microscopy).
  • Eliminated preconditioning requirements for components with nickel underplating, which cuts sample sizes for components using nickel as a mitigation practice and also reduces the test time required for these components.
  • Allowed an option for bias testing (when required) to be conducted in sockets.

"As long as the fundamentals and various contributing factors to tin whisker growth are not fully understood, acceptance of lead-free tin finishes always carries some risk, particularly when relating testing to field life," said Smetana. "However, we believe that the combination of mitigation practices, testing and plating process control reduces the risk associated with tin whiskers."

The revised requirements have been submitted to IPC and JEDEC to consider for standardization.

Not everyone agrees that new efforts are needed, however. Several solutions were devised in Japan as much as 20 years ago; see Jan Vardaman's column in Circuits Assembly in September for details.

The Tin Whisker User Group is comprised of 11 large manufacturers of electronics assemblies that agree that pure tin finishes (and other high-tin content lead-free alloy finishes) present a risk of tin whisker-related failures in electronics, particularly those demanding high reliability.

Read more ...

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