AUSTIN, TX, Dec. 30 -- A dramatic escalation is ahead in
device-to-device communication as traffic on the Internet is no longer people
talking to people, but people talking to devices and devices talking to devices.
So says self-styled futurist and technologist David Smith, a vice president
at Technology Futures Inc., and who has worked with
Boeing, Hughes, Intel, Compaq and the CIA.
Other forecasts, as issued by the firm today:
- The timeframe of the product life-cycle continues to decrease: By the time a
product hits the market, its shelf life is half what it used to be. So the
science and research time will become more intensive and innovative earlier as
product development time continues to compress.
- Outsourcing and globalization become paradigms of success: Businesses must
understand and adapt to the new source of competitive advantage by connecting to
the core competencies and customer interaction on global scale. In the global
business world, global interaction is imperative.
- Broadband and high-speed wireless penetration reach a large enough market
for new classes of applications to emerge: These new products will explicitly
take advantage of what broadband and wireless networks have to offer in terms of
mobility and accessibility to markets.
- The Age of Bio will maintain its marked acceleration: National and global
collaboration is enhancing its commercialization potential.
- An information age emerging increasingly driven by needs for precision,
accuracy and timeliness in all endeavors -- personal, business, governmental.
- A major revolution continues in IT growth in such areas as the Internet,
wireless and wired communications, mobile applications and electronic commerce.
- Information technology becoming ubiquitous and expanding within the private,
business and global worlds. Every device becomes a server.
- Quality of life improvements in such areas as smart appliances, cars,
highways and buildings, easier access to knowledge, and revolutionary new
concepts in health-related fields.
- An increasingly mobile and global society becoming ever more reliant on a
worldwide availability of information.
The firm says that in order for these trends to come about, certain policies
must be put in place, including an open, standards-based infrastructure that
position U.S. organizations as early adapters to information technology
developments.